31 March 2009

Inegi: Value of total construction -6.5% in Jan., season. adj. real terms; annual trend -5.0%; building division -26.8%; annual trend -21.3%

Banxico: Foreign reserves down to US$79,004bln on Mar. 27 from US$80,619bln Mar. 20

Markets: Bolsa up lightly in early trade Tue; 19,630.33 v. 19,530.15 close Mon; +0.5%

COREX: Manufacturing: Jan. Inegi manufacturing headcount index -11.6% v -12.3% Dec. seasonally adj. annualized; Jan. trend rate -9.0% annual

COREX: Manufacturing: Jan. Inegi manufacturing work-hours index -15.6% v. -30.6% Dec. seasonally adj. annual; Jan. trend rate -11.6% annual

Markets: Peso opens stronger Tue.; 14.0250 v. 14.3425 close Mon.; +2.2%

G20: Calderon, Gordon Brown issue joint statement on crisis: Call for coordinated action and preservation of free trade and open markets

Top Story Cronica: Calderon Rules Out Joint Patrols - President rejects joint US-Mexico military operations in Mexico to combat narco

Top Story Jornada: Fiscal Revenue -6.7% in Jan.-Feb. - In first two months, revenue of MXN440.7bln represented a real-term loss of 6.7% y/y

Top Story Universal: Taxes Plunge In Jan.-Feb. - Slower economy led to Feb. fiscal deficit of MXN8.1bln; VAT, IETU, income tax -9.1% on ave.

Top Story 2009: Historic Global Contraction - World Bank estimates 1H global GDP to decline 1.7%; OECD sees Mexico GDP -2% full year 2009

Top Story Reforma: VAT Revenues Fall 30% - With consumption sharply lower, value-added tax revenues fell 30% in Feb.; worst in 16 yrs

30 March 2009

El Universal Survey: PRI cedes ground for midterm elections; voter preferences for PRI fall from 39.9% in Feb. to 30.3% in Mar.; PAN in 2nd

Manufacturing: Jan. Inegi manufacturing work-hours index -25.56% v. -16.55% Dec. seasonally adj. annualized; Jan. trend rate -5.48% annual

Manufacturing: Jan. Inegi manufacturing headcount index -14.45% v. -6.75% Dec. seasonally adj. annualized; Jan. trend rate -8.95% annual

Markets: Peso opens weaker Mon.; 14.5150 v. 14.3110 close Fri.; -1.4%

Markets: Bolsa opens down Mon.; 19,897.85 v. 20,315.17 close Fri.; -2.1%

Top Biz Story Universal: Halting Injunction Abuse - FinMin prepares bill to halt mass use of injunctions by taxpayers; constitutional reform

Top Story Universal: UNAM Rejects 105K - Historic level of applicants amid crisis; only 8% were accepted; med school, engineering top volume

Top Story Excelsior: Millionaire Education Fund Diverted - MXN1.7bln in '07 fed education funds for states wrongly diverted to Teacher Union

Top Story Jornada: Narcoviolence 'Out Of Control' Says Obama - US President warns cartels serious threat for US border; natl guard on hold

Top Story Economista: Anticyclical Policies, Reforms Urgent - With the economy in free fall, govt, Congress failing to enact plans: CEESP

Top Biz Story Reforma: Afores Back In Black - Retirement fund managers returned to profit in Mar.; MXN44bln in gains since Feb.

Top Story Reforma: The Violence Is Out Of Control: Obama - US President says narcoviolence out of control, serious threat for border cities

29 March 2009

IFE plans MXN9.5mln fine for Green Party for buying TV spots calling for death penalty for kidnappers; electoral reform bans buying airtime

In TV interview Obama says, "We've got to reduce demand for drugs. We've got to do our part in reducing the flow of cash and guns south."

Intellectual Property: The Federal District Attorney General and Federal Police seized 6,000 pirate CDs and DVDs in Mexico City in Wed. raid

Economy: After huge drop in Jan. Igae (-9.5% y/y unadjusted), analysts see Q1 GDP -5% or more: Jornada

Top Story Cronica: Zetas Recruit, Train Hitmen In Guatemala - Zetas, armed enforcers of Gulf Cartel, found using training camps in Guatemala

Top Story Jornada: Chihuahua Top Cop Quits - Javier Alberto Torres resigns from post after ranking narco Crispin Borunda escapes custody

Top Story Universal: Pushing For Bill Of Rights - Fed govt working with Congress on bill to enshrine human rights in the Constitution

Top Story Reforma: More Judges, More Backlog - In 1994, 305 fed. courthouses, in 2009 611; but accused awaiting trial has doubled in 10 yrs

G-20: Calderon has departed for the G-20 Summit in London; president said he would urge the US to resist adopting protectionist policies

G-20: Calderon has departed for the G-20 Summit in London; president said he would push for more resources for global financial institutions

28 March 2009

Trade War: For a list of punitive tariffs imposed by Mexico on the US for the latter's failure to open its borders to Mexican trucks: http://ping.fm/yMi8O

Govt denies plans to expel singer Manu Chao for denouncing repression in San Atenco; foreigners prohibited from political expression in Mex

Media: Calderon decrees national public TV Channel 11 to go nationwide, open broadcast currently covers 25% of country

Security: Felipe Calderon appoints Jorge Tello Peon head of National Public Security System. Since Oct. 2008, has been natl security adviser

Top Econ. Story Reforma: IETU Worsens Crisis - New Single Rate Business Tax weighs on companies even when suffering losses

Top Story Cronica: 62K Narcos Arrested; Only 3K Go To Jail - Of the thousands arrested by PGR since Dec. 1, 2006, 59K are unaccounted for

Top Story Jornada: Crisis Creates Historic Demand On UNAM - Weak job market compels youth to seek education; 155,000 turned away this year

Top Story Universal: IFE To Audit AMLO - Federal Electoral Institute is auditing AMLO for his political rallies and the origin of the funds

Top Story Reforma: Economy Falls At Steepest Rate On Record In Jan. - Decline in IGAE of -9.5% worst on record since 1993

27 March 2009

UPDATE: Jan. GDP proxy (IGAE) seasonally adj. annual trend rates: Total -16.64%; services -17.28%; industry -15.15%; agriculture -5.28%

Inegi: Jan. GDP proxy (IGAE) -38.6%; services -37.1%; industry -29.9%; agriculture -33.3%

Top Finance Universal: Mexico In Coma, Say Business - At Manufacturing Industry Chamber assembly, leaders accuse govt of fiscal inaction

Top Story Universal: Our Counternarcotics Efforts Failed, Says DEA - The strategy has failed, reflected in high domestic consumption

Top Story Economista: Latin America Will Live Crisis 1yr - Inter-American Development Bank urges preparation

Top Story Jornada: Mexicans Hold US$322bln In Foreign Banks - Capital flight, more attractive investment opportunities abroad cited

Top Finance Reforma: Benchmark Credit Card - A Senate bill would require all banks to offer a standard card with MXN900 limit, no annual fee

Top Story Reforma: Zetas Recruit Women - The armed enforcers of the Gulf Cartel have opened a new division, The Panthers, of female fighters

26 March 2009

Finance: Senate committees approve bills to limit interest rates and commissions that banks charge customers; central bank likely watchdog

Top Story Jornada: US: Narco Puts Calderon Govt At Risk - Mexican cartels out of control; Obama calls Calderon 'brave'

Top Story Economista: Nafin And Bancomext To Merge - Two largest state-owned banks are set to merge; will be charged w/development projects

Top Story Universal: Hillary: Unfair To Blame Mexico For Drugs - Sec of State recognizes failure to control drug demand in US drives traffic

Hillary Clinton will deliver an address on US-Mexico bilateral relations on Thur. 1:15 pm local Monterrey time; webcast: tecvirtual.itesm.mx

25 March 2009

UPDATE: Feb. Import Trends: Total imports trend rate -45.1%; intermediate trend -38.8%; consumer trend -45.0%; capital goods trend -36.0%

UPDATE: Feb. Export Trends: Total exp. trend rate -36.8%; non-petroleum exp. trend -28.9%; manuf. exp. trend -37.20%; oil exp. trend -51.4%

Trade: Prelim. Feb. exports -3.1% seasonally adj.; non-petro. +18.66%; prelim. Feb. imports -4.23%; consumer imports +42.17%

Top Story Jornada: Lozana: Loss Of 370,000 Jobs Normal Cycle - Labor minister advises workers to pursue studies to fill labor market needs

Top Story Universal: US Gave Funds To Liberate Territories - DoD slated US$13mln to Mex air force to help reduce ungoverned areas in Mexico

Top Story Economista: Public Works To Be Freed Up - The legal framework for public work spending tied up; govt prepares procurement reform

Top Story Financiero: Historic Joblessness In February: 2.4mln - The (unadjusted) unemployment rate in February was 5.3%, highest on record

Top Story Reforma: Tax Returns Accelerated - President decrees surpluses must be returned in 15 to 20 days; govt failures may be fined

24 March 2009

Inegi: Feb. season. adjust. nat'l open unemployment rate 4.89% v. 4.64% in Jan.; Feb. urban unemployment 6.05% v. 5.92% in Jan.

Banxico: 1HMar. consumer price index at 5.98 annual, down from 6.20 end of Feb.; core inflation down slightly to 5.72 from 5.78 end of Feb.

Border: US unveils scheme to crack down on bi-directional smuggling of drugs, guns, money across border; plan calls for agents, technology

Top Story Financiero: Exports Of Intermediate Goods To US Plummet - A decline of 40.7% in intermediate goods to US in January

Top Story Reforma: Senate Demands Cheaper Diesel - Amid trucker protests, senators will push Calderon to lower prices of diesel, gasoline

Top Story Cronica: Rewards Of Up To MXN30mln For Info Leading To Capo Captures - On list are
El Chapo, El Mayo, El Azul, El Lazca, others

Top Story Economista: Mexico Rating Endangered - Fitch warns of a downgrade if govt fails to face looming fiscal pressures starting 2010

Top Story Universal: Opposition Fights Banamex Case - Prepare Supreme Court case; US govt stake in Citigroup Banamex deemed unconstitutional

23 March 2009

Inegi releases new farming survey: 30.2mln hect. of farmland; most important crops: corn, beans, sorghum; together account for 75% of crops

Inegi: Non-fin. services sector employment -2.2% in Jan., v. +0.9% in Dec.

Inegi: Aggregate Non-Fin. Services Income Indicator -0.1% in Jan. (yoy, not seas. adj.); first decline on record, vs. +3.6% in Dec.

Inegi: Jan. seas. adj. retail sales -4.0% v. -16.5% in Dec., trending -6.0%; Jan wholesale sales -15.7% v. -1.6% in Dec., trending -4.4%

Top Story Economista: Deschamps Rejects Lowering Rates, Commissions By Decree - New head of Mexican Bank Association favors market forces

Top Story Jornada: Half Million Mexicans In Arrears - Figures from credit bureau show 500,000 more debtors in Jan.-Feb. alone

Top Story Reforma: Private Sector Does The Work Of Attorney General - To combat piracy, detectives, attorneys, others fill the gap for PGR

Top Story Universal: Crisis Will Drive Thousands From Schools - Economic crisis will slam education; private schools could see 50% reduction

22 March 2009

Labor: The National Cargo Haulers plan to strike Mon. 23 in 15 states, blockading 31 highways. They are protesting diesel prices, IETU tax